Hatayspor vs Kasımpaşa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
18º
19º
6
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 60 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 56 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 56 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 52 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 52 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 52 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 49 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 44 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 44 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
83% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
HAT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 0
RIZ
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 2
HAT
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 1
ANK
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GFK
1 - 1
HAT
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kasımpaşa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 3
KON
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 1
HUL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 1
BJK
47%
23%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIZ
0 - 0
KAS
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 1
ANT
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |