Hatayspor vs Göztepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
18º
19º
34
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 79 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 10% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IST
3 - 0
HAT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
HAT
5 - 0
OSK
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
BJK
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
HAT
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HAT
3 - 1
GFK
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Göztepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GOZ
3 - 1
ADA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
IST
4 - 1
GOZ
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 4
GOZ
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 0
KON
41%
25%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
GFK
2 - 1
GOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |