Hatayspor vs Gaziantep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
18º
19º
26
5º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
2º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 44 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 42 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 39 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
19º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EYU
2 - 0
HAT
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
IKG
0 - 4
HAT
4%
10%
86%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 1
KAY
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SIV
3 - 2
HAT
61%
22%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
TRA
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gaziantep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
GFK
2 - 1
GOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GFK
3 - 1
KON
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
GFK
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GFK
1 - 1
BJK
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
EYU
3 - 2
GFK
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |