Hatayspor vs Rizespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
18º
19º
27
5º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 78 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 30 |
18º
|
40% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FEN
2 - 1
HAT
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 3
ADA
32%
25%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
ISK
1 - 0
HAT
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
GOZ
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IST
3 - 0
HAT
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rizespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 0
RIZ
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
RIZ
1 - 1
BJK
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GOZ
3 - 0
RIZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
RIZ
6 - 0
BUY
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RIZ
1 - 1
KON
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |