Hatayspor vs Bodrum FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
18º
19º
16
8º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 78 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 62 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 61 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 30 |
18º
|
40% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
HAT
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 2
HAT
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
HAT
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bodrum FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 1
IST
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 0
BOD
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
3 - 1
KON
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
EYU
4 - 1
BOD
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BOD
0 - 1
GFK
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |