FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-2
Hastings United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastings United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 1
HAS
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
HAS
0 - 0
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HAS
1 - 1
BOG
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MET
4 - 0
HAS
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
TOW
30%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TOW
1 - 1
HAS
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
2 - 0
TOW
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
TOW
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TOW
3 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |