Hastedt vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hastedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HAS
5 - 1
OSC
91%
6%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BTN
1 - 1
HAS
11%
15%
74%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAS
6 - 3
SGA
70%
15%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
3 - 0
HAS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAS
0 - 3
OBE
20%
17%
63%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
0 - 3
LEH
77%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
12 - 0
OSC
89%
8%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEE
8 - 2
VAT
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BTN
2 - 1
GEE
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GEE
4 - 3
SGA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |