Hartley Wintney vs Yate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DAG
1 - 0
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
0 - 2
SAL
33%
22%
45%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HEN
4 - 0
HAR
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
BEA
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Yate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
YAT
2 - 6
POO
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
YAT
0 - 1
CHE
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 0
YAT
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
YAT
0 - 3
TIV
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FAR
0 - 0
YAT
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |