Hartley Wintney vs Taunton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
CHE
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 3
HAR
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
TIV
1 - 1
HAR
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 4
MET
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
4 - 2
HAR
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Taunton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TAU
7 - 0
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
TAU
4 - 3
SAL
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FAR
1 - 4
TAU
25%
21%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 2
TAU
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
TAU
4 - 0
WAL
64%
20%
17%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |