Hartley Wintney vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIM
0 - 0
HAR
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 1
DOR
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 0
BEA
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 1
HAR
20%
22%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 2
WAL
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 3
SWI
15%
20%
65%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HEN
1 - 0
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
WIM
1 - 0
SWI
39%
23%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |