Hartley Wintney vs Staines Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIM
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 0
TIV
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 4
WAL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 2
HAR
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MET
5 - 1
HAR
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Staines Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STA
0 - 5
MET
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2019 |
STA
2 - 4
TIV
17%
19%
63%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
6 - 1
STA
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
10 - 3
STA
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 1
STA
85%
10%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |