Hartley Wintney vs Bromley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
HAR
5 - 1
MON
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
RUS
2 - 0
HAR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 2
HAR
56%
19%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
AYL
0 - 2
HAR
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 2
CAM
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bromley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
4 - 4
BRO
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 2
DOV
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
BRO
0 - 2
ALD
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 3
BRO
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BRO
1 - 1
CHE
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |