Hartlepool United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
STO
1 - 0
HAR
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
3 - 1
BRE
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
HAR
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 3
LUT
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
HAR
0 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
0 - 0
MKD
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
2 - 2
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
HUL
2 - 1
WRE
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
OLD
3 - 5
WRE
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
GUL
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |