Hartlepool United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
HAR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HAR
3 - 2
NTT
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 1
HAR
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 2
BRI
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 0
HUR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
SWI
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 3
BRE
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SCU
1 - 2
SWI
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |