Hartlepool United vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
OPA
4 - 0
HAR
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
OXF
20%
27%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 1
HAR
45%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 1
LEY
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
HAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 0
SAL
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 0
STA
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 4
SAL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |