Hartlepool United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WAL
5 - 2
HAR
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEY
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 0
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HAR
3 - 0
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
ROC
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
NOT
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 1
EXE
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 1
ROC
65%
20%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 4
MKD
48%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |