FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-1
Hartlepool United vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
STA
1 - 2
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
HAR
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 3
DON
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
DAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 2
ROC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
HAR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 3
BCF
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 1
CRE
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ROC
1 - 3
STO
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |