Hartlepool United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 2
HAR
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 0
SCU
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
ROC
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 1
HAR
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SHW
0 - 3
HAR
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
OLD
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
OLD
1 - 3
SCU
67%
18%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
OLD
5 - 5
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 1
TRA
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
OLD
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |