Hartlepool United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 2
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 3
LUT
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BHA
2 - 0
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 2
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
0 - 0
SHW
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
COL
4 - 1
NOT
52%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
NOT
4 - 1
BPO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
TRA
4 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |