Hartlepool United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
STE
2 - 0
HAR
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 1
EXE
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 0
HAR
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
SUT
1 - 0
HAR
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
1 - 0
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WYC
4 - 3
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 3
STA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 3
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DON
1 - 0
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |