Hartlepool United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 2
HAR
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 3
MIL
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 0
HAR
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
STO
2 - 1
HAR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
1 - 2
POS
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
HUR
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SWI
3 - 0
HER
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SCU
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |