Hartlepool United vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
BOS
0 - 1
HAR
24%
27%
50%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 2
MAC
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
GUL
0 - 1
HAR
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 1
HAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
HER
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
ROC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 4
HER
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
STO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |