EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-4
Hartlepool United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
POS
2 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 1
HAR
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
HAR
0 - 0
CUM
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
HAR
1 - 0
LEY
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
MAN
2 - 0
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 1
CRE
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
HUR
0 - 0
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
CRE
3 - 1
OPA
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRI
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
IPS
1 - 2
CRE
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |