FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Hartlepool United vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
OPA
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BCF
1 - 0
HAR
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
ROT
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 3
COV
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
COV
0 - 3
ROT
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
COV
1 - 5
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 3
COV
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
COV
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |