Hartlepool United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
WYC
3 - 4
HAR
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
BPO
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
SHW
1 - 0
HAR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 2
HAR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
POR
2 - 5
HAR
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 0
RUS
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
POS
0 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CHE
4 - 2
QPR
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 2
WYC
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |