Hartlepool United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
EAS
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 0
HAR
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
DOR
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 2
SOL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DAG
0 - 1
HAR
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 2
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
NAN
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 0
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TAD
1 - 3
CHE
6%
16%
79%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
BLY
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |