Hartlepool United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 0
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 2
CRA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DAG
0 - 1
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
HAR
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 3
CHE
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
EAS
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |