Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
OPA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PLY
2 - 0
HAR
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
5 - 1
HAR
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 0
TRA
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 0
STF
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 0
TRA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 2
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
CUM
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
0 - 3
BCF
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CUM
4 - 4
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |