Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
SCU
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
NOT
2 - 0
HAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 0
SWI
26%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CRE
5 - 0
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 5
NEW
12%
22%
67%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 1
PNE
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MKD
2 - 0
CUM
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
2 - 1
IPS
36%
24%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
4 - 2
OPA
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 3
TRA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |