Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 2
HUR
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 2
LEE
23%
26%
51%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 1
GIL
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRO
2 - 0
HAR
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 0
CUM
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
CUM
1 - 2
HUR
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CUM
5 - 0
MKD
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
CUM
2 - 3
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
HUR
1 - 1
CUM
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |