FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-0
Hartlepool United vs Boston United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
HAR
5 - 0
MKD
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 0
HAR
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BRI
0 - 0
HAR
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
OLD
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 5
HAR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 2
LEY
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOS
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
SWA
3 - 1
BOS
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BOS
3 - 1
DAR
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 1
BOS
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |