EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-7
Hartlepool United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1994 |
HAR
5 - 1
BCF
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
BCF
2 - 0
HAR
66%
19%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
HAR
1 - 8
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
WRE
2 - 0
HAR
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1994 |
BAR
3 - 2
HAR
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ARS
2 - 3
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
OMO
1 - 3
ARS
23%
26%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
ARS
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
41%
28%
32%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |