Hartlepool United vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SHW
2 - 0
HAR
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 0
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
DON
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
CUM
0 - 1
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 0
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
BOU
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOU
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
POS
0 - 1
BOU
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 3
BAR
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |