Hartenholm vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EIC
0 - 2
HAR
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 1
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NTS
2 - 2
HAR
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HAG
2 - 0
HAR
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
TUR
41%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KRO
0 - 2
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
LUB
2 - 0
TUR
82%
13%
6%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 3
LUB
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LUB
4 - 0
TOD
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LUB
2 - 0
HUS
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |