Hartenholm vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOD
2 - 2
HAR
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
TUR
39%
24%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
4 - 0
HAR
70%
16%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
0 - 3
ANG
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
6 - 1
DOR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 0
HEI
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 3
HOL
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 2
KRO
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HUL
0 - 6
HOL
17%
20%
64%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
HOL
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |