Hartenholm vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PRE
0 - 3
HAR
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
EUT
1 - 2
HAR
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 0
HOL
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TOD
2 - 2
HAR
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HUL
2 - 1
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
HUL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HUL
4 - 1
KRO
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EIC
5 - 5
HUL
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PRE
8 - 1
HUL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |