Hartenholm vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 0
HAR
84%
11%
5%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
TOD
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
KRO
13%
19%
69%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 2
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAG
42%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HUL
3 - 1
ALT
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
HUL
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUL
2 - 4
EIC
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 1
HUL
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 2
NTS
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |