Hartenholm vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 4
VFR
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EUT
6 - 1
HAR
84%
10%
5%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 3
HAR
73%
17%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ALT
3 - 0
HAR
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 5
OLD
33%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FLE
3 - 1
TUR
89%
8%
4%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VFR
2 - 1
FLE
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FLE
4 - 2
ALT
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EIC
7 - 3
FLE
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FLE
3 - 1
UNI
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |