Hartenholm vs Bordesholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DOR
3 - 0
HAR
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 2
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 7
TOD
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 4
HAR
14%
19%
68%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 2
UNI
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bordesholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 1
DOR
38%
22%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 4
HEI
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 0
BOR
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BOR
4 - 2
NTS
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 1
BOR
69%
16%
15%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |