TSV Hartberg vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
8º
12º
8º
8
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 36 |
1º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 35 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 34 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 33 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 32 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 25 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
12º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
28% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
72% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
LAS
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 11
HAR
7%
14%
79%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
0 - 2
RYV
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 1
WOL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
AUS
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 3
ILV
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 6
AUS
7%
14%
79%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
2 - 1
AUS
32%
24%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |