Harstad vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SKE
5 - 1
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FOL
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HAR
75%
15%
9%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 1
SEN
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
HAR
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ULL
1 - 2
KJE
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
2 - 0
ULL
79%
14%
6%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 3
STA
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 0
ULL
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 1
TRO
8%
16%
77%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | -1 |