Harstad vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
SEN
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KJE
0 - 1
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
ULL
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MJO
1 - 2
FIN
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TRO
7 - 0
MJO
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MJO
2 - 0
SKE
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MJO
0 - 2
KFU
18%
22%
59%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
MJO
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |