Harstad vs Melbo IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
57.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 5
FIN
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FLO
4 - 1
HAR
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 0
SKJ
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 1
HAR
71%
15%
14%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
SIK
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Melbo IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SIK
0 - 3
MIL
27%
20%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 0
LEK
90%
8%
3%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UIK
2 - 3
MIL
23%
20%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 0
FBG
44%
21%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GIF
0 - 3
MIL
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |