Harstad vs Innstrandens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
24
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 2
HAR
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ILU
1 - 1
HAR
18%
18%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
ELV
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 3
HAR
17%
19%
65%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
FYL
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Innstrandens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IFC
3 - 4
SIK
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 3
HON
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 0
IFC
86%
9%
5%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KON
2 - 0
IFC
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 2
FFK
23%
19%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |