Harrow Borough vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UXB
1 - 2
HAR
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 3
NEE
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
4 - 1
SAW
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
ENF
0 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 1
LEA
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 3
TON
24%
25%
51%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 4
WIN
73%
15%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 5
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAV
20%
23%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
WIN
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |