Harrow Borough vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 5
HAR
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 0
BRE
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LEW
1 - 1
HAR
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
HAM
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 1
HAR
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TON
4 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 5
TON
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TON
3 - 3
NEE
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
TON
2 - 3
GRA
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ENF
0 - 1
TON
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |