Harrow Borough vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 2
HAR
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
WES
1 - 1
HAR
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
YEL
2 - 0
HAR
20%
20%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
MET
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
HAR
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 0
GOS
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
SWI
1 - 4
THA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TIV
2 - 0
SWI
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MET
2 - 3
SWI
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 2
FAR
60%
19%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |