Harrow Borough vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BEA
4 - 1
HAR
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
MET
1 - 0
HAR
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
4 - 3
MET
39%
25%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STA
1 - 5
HAR
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 4
KIN
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
POO
2 - 5
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 0
STA
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
FAR
2 - 1
SWI
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
2 - 2
SWI
47%
21%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 0
MER
52%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |