Harrow Borough vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 0
HAR
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KIN
5 - 2
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 0
GRA
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
LEI
34%
24%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 1
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEE
1 - 0
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEA
2 - 2
NEE
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 0
KIN
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HAM
5 - 0
NEE
74%
16%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |