Harrow Borough vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TAU
7 - 0
HAR
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
5 - 0
FAR
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
BAS
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 2
HAR
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 2
HAR
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 2
POO
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
KIN
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 0
MER
63%
19%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MER
2 - 0
WIM
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MER
5 - 1
TIV
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |